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Euro-Dollar And 2-Year U.S.-German Rate Differentials Revisited

Marc Chandler
(Click to enlarge)
We have often noted how well the U.S.-German 2-year interest rate differential tracks the euro-dollar exchange rate. This
Great Graphic
, we composed on Bloomberg, shows the dollar against the euro in white and the 2-year interest rate differential between the U.S. and Germany in yellow.
For our purposes here, we inverted the euro-dollar exchange rate from how it is traditionally quoted so to be more intuitively in line with the rate differential. As the U.S. premium over Germany rises so too does the dollar rise against the euro. The opposite is also true. In recent weeks the U.S. premium
Complete Story »
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2013-06-10 16:48:06
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Short Note On The Rupee's Slide

Marc Chandler
The Indian rupee has fallen to new record lows against the U.S. dollar today. While the rupee's 1.8% slide against the greenback is the largest since Sept '11, it represents continuation of the trend that started in May.
Indeed in the first three months of the year, the rupee was among the strongest of the emerging market currencies, gaining about 1.3% against the dollar. It was bolstered by foreign inflows into India's stock markets and the belief that Federal Reserve's QE was going to keep risk assets, including emerging markets well supported.
Two things have happened. First, the market has begun anticipating the end of QE and this has seen U.S. rates rise and an unwind of some of the flows to emerging markets. Second, there has been a deterioration of India's macroeconomi

2013-06-10 16:48:06
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The Aftermath of US Regulatory Warning Against Binary Options – Software Providers to

The United States regulatory authorities’ message is clear when it comes to the legalities of off-exchange binary options being marketed within its jurisdiction – the message is clear: Caveat Emptor!
Read more
[visit site to read more]
Related Stories
US Binary Clampdown – SEC Follows CFTC In Issuance of Investor Warnings and Enters Charge Against Banc De Binary
CFTC Reviews Obligations to Report Omnibus Account Information – White Label Partnerships Under Spotlight
Integral Development Corporation Announces Readiness for CFTC EBCS Ruling
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2013-06-10 16:32:06
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EURJPY: Halts Decline, Risk Turns To The 131.40 Level & Beyond EURJPY: Halts Decline, Risk Turns To The 131.40 Level & Beyond

EURJPY- With the cross halting its decline on Friday and following through higher during Monday trading today, there is risk of continued upside recovery. This should open the door for more strength towards the 131.40 level, its Jun 05’2013 high followed by the 132.07 level and ultimately its year-to-date high at the 133.81 level. Its daily RSI has turned higher supporting this view. On further downside, support comes in at the 129.06 level where a violation if seen will turn focus to the 126.15 level. We may see a halt here but if broken expect the cross to weaken further towards the 125.50 level and then the 125.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside in the medium term.

2013-06-10 13:48:07
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Forex Markets Looking Forward, NFP Has Little Impact

Ralph Shell
Friday's NFP report came in better than expected - 175K new jobs in May - although there was a reduction in the April number. U.S. equity markets were impressed, and the Dow closed over 200 higher. The theory that good employment news would cause the Fed to come closer to the day when they would taper off the size of their bond purchases, and thereby cause equities to sell off, was flawed today.
The bond market had a different take on the number, tacking on ten basis points to a 2.17 yield on the 10-year. The unemployment rate was a tick higher, 7.6% caused by a minor increase in the participation rate to 63.4%. The report gave ambivalent information. While the total unemployment rate went up, the U-6 unemployment rate went down to 13.8%. Manufacturing jobs were reduced by 8K j

2013-06-10 13:06:29
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China Data Dump: Moderation, But No Stimulus Response

Marc Chandler
Most countries report economic data over a course of a month. China releases most of it in a couple of days and this weekend was such a period. To summarize, China reported weaker imports and exports, but a larger overall trade surplus, lower inflation and weaker bank lending.
Industrial output, retail sales and fixed asset investment were in line with expectations and suggests the world's second largest economy is expanding in line with the first quarter pace of 7.7%. The government targets 7.5% growth this year and is unlikely to provide fresh stimulus for the economy.
China reported the May trade surplus widened to $20.43 billion from $18.16 billion in April. China's trade data is among the most controversial of its reports. The government recognizes that the trade account

2013-06-09 19:32:07
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EURUSD: Bullish, Eyes Further Upside. EURUSD: Bullish, Eyes Further Upside.

EURUSD: While the pair is bullish in the short term, it will have to decisively break and hold above the 1.3242 level to create scope for more. A cut through this level will resume its medium term uptrend and call for more strength towards the 1.3300 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.3400 level and then the 1.3450 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at 1.3150 level followed by the 1.3050 level and then the 1.3000 level. Below here will aim at the 1.2900 level. All in all, EUR continues to retain its medium term upside bias.

2013-06-09 12:40:37
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EUR/USD Outlook Week Of June 9, 2013 - 4 Things To Consider

Cliff Wachtel
EURUSD Outlook: Short term neutral/bullish, longer term bearish
The main long term EURUSD driver
Reasons behind recent EURUSD rally
Technical Picture
Coming week likely EURUSD drivers and what makes them influential
Longer term the USD outlook remains bullish as long as the Fed continues to appear hawkish relative to the ECB, BoJ, BoE, RBA, and other leading central banks. Belief that the Fed was indeed the only one moving towards a meaningful tightening has been the fuel of the USD rally. Other considerations were short term or minor.
Over the past week, that longer term USD rally has been undermined by a variety of factors, including:
Overcrowded USD Long Trade: Those expectations of Fed hawkishness created an overcrowded USD long position that was vulnerable to any disappo

2013-06-09 08:52:26
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FxPro Launches Auto-Trading Market Place

Automated traders get a boost as leading
broker, FXPro, launches its own market place for automated traders, providing a library of Expert Advisors and a strategy builder to build your own auto trading solution.
Read more
[visit site to read more]
Related Stories
“Your Time’s Up MetaTrader?” – So Says Platform Community
FXone Wants to Run Your Expert Advisors
Spotware Launching cMulti Mirror Trading Platform for cTrader
More...

2013-06-07 22:13:08
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también sabemos que la compe

2013-04-26 02:49:09
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2013-04-25 15:09:02
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2013-04-25 11:44:19
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2013-04-25 10:33:06
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Forex brokers friends on not?

I am happy with my broker, recently I have achieved my goal that’s my broker is my friend and provide help as well but I have found some trader claim broker and say it’s scam so I will suggest to all always chose regulated and reliable broker…you're broker is you friend or not ? :)

2013-04-25 10:23:09
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セリーヌ風 その成分と効果を見てみたいと思い� �す

アニメーションは重く、ブレがち。� ��書籍のページをめくるのも快適で� �ない」と酷評していますベーターの� ��ェイス・メリーノは「結局、�ンド� ��・ファイヤーはiPad�ラーとは程�い� �在,
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ク�エ財布 エルシー どうやったら目立つかなとか
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。鉄道写真のおもしろさは、もちろ� �車両や鉄道そのものの�力を撮影す� �ことにある。その一方で、風景とし� ��の鉄道や、列車と旅の楽しみなど、 さまざまなテーマの広がりもあり得� �,
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2013-04-24 08:23:39
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http://celine.hahaue.com/ 高性能なノイズ除去機能や赤目補�

エコ箸はごはん物はいいのですが、� �類はつるつる滑って食べにくい,
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http://gucci.karou.jp/ すばやい対処にびっくりしました
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セリーヌ ミニショッパー 2013年3月期予想 従�員数 6
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フェラガモ 時計 インストラクター
www.celine.hahaue.com
サルヴァトーフェラガモ ※他モールでも出品販売している為
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2013-04-24 04:49:04
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Ray Ban New Wayfarer RB5184 2012 I Mørk Havana

En av de mest ikoniske modeller gjennom tidene, disse Ray Ban brillene bæres av religiøse mennesker og kjendiser alike.
Etablert siden 1937, og har denne populære merket fått sin legendariske status når den ble relansert dette årtusenet. Det er vanskelig å tro at dette merket var en gang så nær å bli vraket hvis det ikke var for Luxottica erverve merkevare.
Ray Ban New Wayfarer er noe som ligner på Ray Ban Original Wayfarer. Ved første inntrykk, kan
kjøpe solbriller på nett
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2013-04-23 09:18:45
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M? B醤 Chung Cu CT6 D?ng X� Gia L鈓 Ch? 540trcan dt 47m2

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2013-04-23 05:37:49
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Comment économiser de l'argent avec Ralph Lauren polo Comment économiser de l'argent avec Ralph Lauren polo

Ralph Lauren | Polo Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Pas Cher Soldes en Polo Outlet!
Polo Ralph Lauren peut être choisi dans de nombreux styles et de couleurs et permet au consommateur de décorer leurs maisons et de sentir la classiness ce style Ralph
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ès d'égaler. Avec la marque de Ralph
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2013-04-23 03:41:23
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2013-04-22 10:18:09
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